There’s
nothing like a year’s end to set the pundits to pondering about the state of
their particular industry. And so it is with the news business. On the
electronic news side, the big question is how to continue making money with the
networks losing ground daily to the cable channels…and then there’s that
irritating Internet thing to futz with.
What’s a media mogul to do?
In November, cable viewership topped that of
the broadcast networks. It wasn’t a true first-time event, but it was the first
time to happen during a major sweeps week. Yikes! Of course, we all knew it was
coming, but finally, there it is in black and white. Hey Toto, check it out.
Kansas in the rearview mirror! It’s one of several trends combining to change
the way television…and television news…operate.
Writing in The Future of Television Forum,
Stephen Warley and James Sheridan observed several major factors influencing
the current state of affairs for TV, which of course affects TV news. The
economy is getting stronger, so there must be money to be made. And broadband
is now in 20 million homes. Not to mention the fact that DirectTV could put
TiVo into 10 million homes next year.
Yet young male viewers seem to be abandoning network TV in record numbers.
They’re on the Internet, of course.
“In 1980, the Big Three Networks commanded
80% of the television audience. Twenty years later, (now the Big Four) the
networks’ overall audience has now fallen below 50 percent and continues to
slide with each passing year,” say Warley and Sheridan. “On the surface, this
is not exactly encouraging when your business model is purely dependent on
advertising, which requires the largest amount of eyeballs possible.”
“The catastrophic drop-off is in viewers born
after 1945,” argues Jeff Alan in an Op-Ed piece originally published in
Television Weekly. “In fact, an in-depth look at the ratings suggests that the
popularity of the major anchors and of the evening news format is not something
that was ever meant to carry over to the Baby Boomers. The startling conclusion
may well be that the evening news was only a transitory phenomenon that had
more to do with the particular needs and outlook of the generations born
between 1900 and 1945 than anything else.”
Alan has bad news for you if you were
planning a brilliant future as a major network news anchor. “Based on the level
and composition of their ratings—and understanding that each of the current
anchors has built a significant personal ‘following’ that will not
automatically flow over to their successors—it is arguable that the evening
news broadcasts have now become an anachronism and should be scrapped as soon
as the current generation of anchors has retired.”
Okay. So much for the networks. So, which
toys are the boys playing with at their computers? Don Kaplan of the New York
Post reported recently on Singingfish, the “first search engine that finds
specific video-based news reports, commercials, movie clips and audio on the
Internet.”
“Singingfish and technologies like it may be
the next step towards customizable newscasts—a news program tailored to a
viewer’s interests,” Kaplan wrote. “In theory, a viewer could simply search for
the video clips they’re interested in and edit them together on their computer
in minutes.”
But that prospect is still some years away,
Kaplan said, because “most news organizations don’t post much of their
telecasts on the Internet.” Why? According to the Singingfish CEO, the network
moguls have yet to figure out how to make money with it.
The future may be dim for their successors,
but it appears that Tom, Dan and Peter are safe in their anchor seats, for now,
anyway.