NYSSA NEWS
November 5, 2008 November 2008   VOLUME 1 ISSUE 9  
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Results of Survey on Government Financial Market Intervention
On October 9, NYSSA launched a survey on the Government Financial Market Intervention plan. The survey was designed to gather feedback from our members and some nonmembers on their opinions about the effectiveness of the Intervention and if the bailout was sufficient to meet the need. Other information gathered included the changes in investment habits of respondents firms, reaction to proposed regulation changes and the availability of cash.

53% of respondents indicated that they worked for a Bank/Investment Bank or Investment Manager/Hedge Fund. Distribution across the other company types was relatively equal.

Regarding key concerns for the next twelve months, 76% indicated that further economic deterioration in the US. Other top concerns for respondents were financial market stability, with 42%, Bank and Financial company failures with 41%, short-term liquidity with 37%, and Housing prices and foreclosures with 36%.

Although the majority of those surveyed, 49% indicated that capital for investments was stable, 48% indicated that the willingness to make additional investments was decreasing. 51% indicated that the companies they follow are having trouble raising bank loans, and 55% indicating they are having trouble raising corporate debt.

Opinions on the effectiveness of the governmental intervention on all levels were helpful, but many thought it insufficient.
We are currently compiling the qualitative data and will release compiled comments in next month’s newsletter. The results of the quantitative data are listed below. Thanks to all for your valuable opinions and insight.
Please send comments to this article to membership@nyssa.org.

1. Fed Rate Cuts
Helpful and need to be increased (cut rates further)   29%
Helpful and appropriate in size and scope   37%
Neither helpful nor harmful   27%
Harmful and should be reduced (rates should be raised)   7%
2. Liquidity Provisions (e.g. TAF Auctions)
Helpful and need to be increased   38%
Helpful and appropriate in size and scope   48%
Neither helpful nor harmful   7%
Harmful and should be reduced   7%
3. Economic Stimulus Packages
Helpful, and need to be increased   32%
Helpful and appropriate in size and scope   27%
Neither helpful nor harmful   21%
Harmful and should be reduced   20%
4. Mortgage Market Support (e.g. Agency Programs, Foreclosure Restrictions)
Helpful, and need to be increased   33%
Helpful and appropriate in size and scope   30%
Neither helpful nor harmful   10%
Harmful and should be reduced   26%
5. Backing workouts (e.g. Bear Stearns)
Helpful and need to be increased   26%
Helpful and appropriate in size and scope   40%
Neither helpful nor harmful   7%
Harmful and should be reduced   26%
6. Guarantees (FDIC, Money Market Funds)
Helpful and need to be increased   50%
Helpful and appropriate in size and scope   41%
Neither helpful nor harmful   4%
Harmful and should be reduced   5%
7. Enforcement Actions (e.g. SEC, State Regulators)
Helpful, and need to be increased   53%
Helpful and appropriate in size and scope   19%
Neither helpful nor harmful   17%
Harmful and should be reduced   11%
8. Market Rules (e.g. Short Sale Restrictions)
Helpful, and need to be increased   23%
Helpful and appropriate in size and scope   15%
Neither helpful nor harmful   13%
Harmful and should be reduced   49%
9. The SEC is considering exemptions to these rules for investors who have an economic net long position (e.g. convertible arbitrage). Assuming that the rules are extended, do you believe that these exemptions should be put in place?
Yes   52%
No Opinion   29%
No   19%
10. The current Treasury Rescue Plan “TARP” (purchasing distressed securities) will be:
Helpful but insufficient by itself to start an economic recovery   63%
Helpful and sufficient to start an economic recovery   14%
Neither helpful nor harmful   6%
Harmful to the economy   16%
12. Are companies that you follow (outside of distressed financial firms) having trouble raising bank loans?
Yes   51%
No   8%
N/A   41%
13. Having trouble raising corporate debt?
Yes   55%
No   7%
N/A   38%
14. Having trouble accessing commercial paper market?
Yes   49%
No   7%
N/A   44%
16. Within your own organization, is the capital available for investment:
Increasing   7%
Stable   49%
Decreasing   44%
17. Within your own organization, is the willingness to make additional investments:
Increasing   14%
Stable   38%
Decreasing   48%
18. In making investments decisions or advice (either adding or reducing investment), is your group favoring:
U.S. Corporations   29%
Indifferent   31%
Non-U.S. Corporations   8%
N/A   31%
19. Thinking about the next twelve months, what are your largest concerns for the economy? Please indicate your top three concerns:
House Prices/Foreclosures   36%
Broader U.S. Economic Deterioration (retail, spending, jobs)   76%
Developed Country (Europe and Asia) Economic Deterioration   17%
Emerging Market Distress   6%
Bank/Financial Company Failures   41%
Corporate Default Rates Rising   21%
Hedge Fund Liquidations   15%
Short Term Liquidity (e.g. Inter-Bank Lending/Commercial Paper)   37%
Financial Market Stability   42%
Commodity Prices   3%
U.S. confidence in Overseas Investors   6%
Other   6%
21. Please describe your company:
Bank/Investment Bank   23%
Broker/Dealer   9%
Independent Research Firm   8%
Investment Manager/Hedge Fund   30%
Private Equity Firm   2%
Insurance Company   6%
Service Provider   6%
Real Estate Firm   1%
Other, please specify   15%

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