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Friday, November 15, 2002

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Comdex Losing Its Glitter
Dell Bucks the Tide
Other Stories

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Comdex Losing Its Glitter

If you don't like crowds, you may wish to consider attending Comdex next week. By all accounts, the once-mighty Las Vegas tech show will be lucky if it can match last year's attendance -- about half of its PC-peeking peak.

Of course, if you take the biggest Comdex ever and divide by half, you still have over 100,000 showgoers. You might call that a big number, but it isn't spun large in coverage of next week's show. Instead, the event is predicted to be "low-key" (InfoWorld) -- a regular "Calm-dex" (San Jose Mercury News). But don't feel too sorry for the owner of the expo, Key3Media Group. If it wanted better press, it should have had the sense to reschedule its earnings announcement for after the show. Instead, the company scooped its own showcase yesterday by revealing that it had lost $300 million in its third quarter and may soon file for bankruptcy.

Why the downturn? Key3Media Chief Fred Rosen blames -- oh, you'll never guess -- the shrinking IT industry and travelers made wary by Sept. 11. But tech buyers are still attending conferences, a former Key3 executive told the Mercury News, only they're favoring more focused gatherings over Comdex' smorgasbord approach. BusinessWeek Online did the math: "Last year, average attendance at info-tech trade shows sank 14%. At Comdex, attendance was down 41%." As the crowds are drifting away, so are corporate booth-buyers. A few years ago, IBM made headlines for refusing to buy space. This year, Sony's opting out.

"The last Comdex?" wondered one poster to Slashdot, where few seemed to mourn the prospect. Several contributors dismissed the event for lacking innovation. ("Windex" charged one, taking a jab at this year's keynote speaker, Bill Gates.) Of course, Slashdotters are all about ranting. Still, if Key3Media wants to win back the techies, it could do worse than to scour recent postings. The writers demand cool technologies, not just a Vegas-based opportunity to party. Writes one: "If I wanted to hang out with a bunch of socially maladjusted, technologically-obsessed cretins I'd stay home and hang out with my friends." - Lori Patel

Comdex organizer may file for Chapter 11
http://news.com.com/2100-1040-965859.html

Comdex' Troubles: Not Just Tech (Business Week)
http://tinyurl.com/2q33

What to expect at Comdex
http://zdnet.com.com/2100-1105-965766.html

Calm-dex: As tech industry contracts, so does trade show (Nov. 3)
http://www.siliconvalley.com/mld/siliconvalley/4438168.htm

Low-key Comdex to highlight gadgets (InfoWorld)
http://tinyurl.com/2q32

The Last Comdex?
http://slashdot.org/articles/02/11/14/2330240.shtml?tid=89

What's to see at a PC trade show these days?
http://slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=45112&cid=4674361

Re:Is it a shame?
http://slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=45112&cid=4674438

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Dell Bucks the Tide

The economy may have hit a "soft patch" -- thanks for that image, Mr. Greenspan, we noticed some little while ago -- but there are always bright spots. Or perhaps we should call them "hard bits in the soft patch."

Dell met analysts' expectations for quarterly earnings, and the news drove a rally in tech stocks yesterday. (Well, a little good news out of Iraq might have contributed too.) Dell's sales were up 22% over the year-ago quarter and its income up 31%. "It's becoming boring," an analyst told the New York Times; "Dell is just killing the competition." According to theStreet.com, Dell has "more than doubled the pace at which it's gaining share" from its competitors, to about 0.7 percentage points per quarter.

The company's stock was down in after-hours trading. According to TheStreet.com, investors have so internalized Dell's clockwork-like record of growth that they sold its stock because Dell's fourth-quarter guidance was "only" in line with expectations. CBS MarketWatch theorized that the stock wasn't helped by Dell's president remarking, "There is no current sign of a strong rebound in IT spending."

Dell made its money from desktops, notebooks, and enterprise gear such as servers, according to a breakdown reported in MarketWatch. Next week the company will make its splashy entrance into the declining market for handheld computers (down 6% over the last 12 months, according to an IDC report cited by Wireless NewsFactor). Dell's two handheld models are expected to give HP and Toshiba fits because of their aggressive pricing, Wireless NewsFactor reported.

Other bright spots include -- would you believe? -- retail. Target Corp., which operates Target, Mervyn's, and Marshall Field's stores, reported quarterly profits up 50% and beat analysts' expectations for the year by 2 cents a share. AP coverage didn't speculate why the discounter did so well, but Unspun will: In tight times, people like to go to a clean, well-lighted place and buy well-designed stuff cheap.

Starbucks was another standout in the soft patch, jumping 10% in profits and 19% in sales over the year-ago quarter. Unspun particularly liked the headline the Rocky Mountain News ran over an AP story: Starbucks bean counters, indeed. The company said it aims to grow by 20% over each of the next three to five years, according to the Seattle Times. Perhaps by installing Starbucks kiosks in Dell stores. - Keith Dawson

Greenspan speaks
http://www.washtimes.com/op-ed/20021115-39772151.htm

Strong Sales Help Dell Match Analysts' Forecasts
http://www.nytimes.com/2002/11/15/technology/15DELL.html

Once Again, Dell Delivers
http://www.thestreet.com/tech/kcswanson/10054377.html

Dell shares dip despite upbeat results (CBS MarketWatch)
http://tinyurl.com/2q3w

Dell PDA To Shake Up Market
http://wirelessnewsfactor.com/perl/story/19990.html

Profits At Target Up 50% For Quarter; Gap, Dell Also Improve (AP)
http://www.ctnow.com/business/hc-earns1115.artnov15,0,7285997.story

Starbucks bean counters show 10% earnings jump (AP)
http://tinyurl.com/2q3y

Starbucks closes its year increasing profit by 19 percent (Seattle Times)
http://tinyurl.com/2q40

View Online...
 
Other Stories

F.C.C. to Refund Wireless Carriers Deposits
http://www.nytimes.com/2002/11/15/technology/15PHON.html

Dell Earnings Rise on Market Share Gains (Reuters)
http://tinyurl.com/2q2z

360networks sells cable below cost
http://money.cnn.com/2002/11/14/technology/cablesale.reut/

Argentina defaults on loan repayment (Financial Times)
http://tinyurl.com/2pzh

Euronext vies to win CBOT trade contract (Financial Times)
http://tinyurl.com/2pzh

Bankruptcy bill falls short
http://money.cnn.com/2002/11/14/news/economy/bankruptcy.ap/

Terrorism Insurance Bill Passed
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A57228-2002Nov14.html

The Five Dumbest Things on Wall Street This Week
http://www.thestreet.com/_tsclsii/tech/georgemannes/10054341.html

SEC, WorldCom Officials Near Settlement
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A51220-2002Nov13.html

FTC Suit Targets Six in Deceptive 'Spamming'
http://www.latimes.com/technology/la-na-spam14nov14,0,7066374.story

Microsoft May Face Heat In Europe Over Wireless
http://online.wsj.com/article/0,,SB1037298002232413108,00.html
(Paid subscription required)

Congress Close to Approving Webcast Royalties Measure
http://www.latimes.com/technology/la-fi-webcast15nov15,0,7868949.story

TiVo Rivals Add DVD to the Mix
http://www.nytimes.com/2002/11/14/technology/circuits/14stat.html

You Are a Suspect
http://www.nytimes.com/2002/11/14/opinion/14SAFI.html

Wi-Fi Encryption Fix Not Perfect
http://www.wired.com/news/business/0,1367,56350,00.html

Hackers drop spyware into popular tool
http://news.com.com/2100-1001-965916.html

View Online...
 
Staff
Written by Deborah Asbrand (dasbrand@world.std.com), Keith Dawson (dawson@world.std.com), Jen Muehlbauer (jen@englishmajor.com), and Lori Patel (loripatel@hotmail.com).

Copyedited by Jim Duffy (jimduffy86@yahoo.com).

Editor and publisher: Jimmy Guterman (guterman@vineyard.com).

Media Unspun is produced by The Vineyard Group Inc.
Copyright 2002 Media Unspun, Inc., and The Vineyard Group, Inc.
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