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Age Wave (Or the Gray Tsunami)
The Growth in Utah’s Elderly Population
by Kelli Polcha, MSW, MPA
At our ASPA luncheon/Career
Fair held in February, Dr.
David Patton spoke about the
impact of the pending retirement
of “baby boomers” (people
born during the period 1945-1962)
and how it will impact the
job market here in Utah. This
is an important issue for
all of us to be thinking about,
along with the other major
impacts that this generation
will have on all of us over
the next 20 years or so. The
following statistics regarding
the projected growth in the
60+ population are helpful
in terms of grasping the size
of the wave that is coming
at us.
Population Growth in Utah: 1990 -2000
• 4th fastest growing
state in total population
• 6th fastest growing state in
the 65+ population
• 2nd highest life expectancy
There was a sixty percent increase over a 10 year
period (1990 -2000) in the
85+ age group. This age group
is the fastest growing segment
of the population. In terms
of planning for the impact
on service needs for the aging
population, it is also the
population cohort that will
require the greatest amount
of resources in terms of health
care, financial assistance
and community supports.
Now take a look at the projected
growth in the 60+ age group
over the next ten to twenty-five
years. It may seem like
the impact is a long way
off, but it will be felt
every year between now and
then in terms of pressure
on government budgets.
Projected Growth in Utah:
- In 2000 Utah had 252, 677
people aged 60 and older.
- By 2015 there will be
422,364 people in that age
group, an increase of 67%
- By 2030 there will be
654,137 people in that
age group, an increase
of 130%!
Let’s talk about what this
means in terms of planning
for the future. Our legislators
took a positive step forward
during this session with
the creation of a Commission
on Aging to study the
issues and impacts related
to growth in Utah’s aging
population. The Commission
will need to examine the
State’s ability to meet
requirements in a variety
of areas. Here are just
a few of the areas that
will need its attention:
- Growth in funding for home
and community-based services
for the State’s most impoverished
and frail elderly, as
we develop new programs
to meet their needs and
help them to remain independent
in their homes for as
long as possible.
- Growth in funding of senior citizens centers and the home-delivered meals programs to ensure adequate nutrition for all seniors.
- Development of a long-term plan to assist Utah’s baby boomers in accessing affordable, long term care as they age, to forestall premature institutionalization.
- Meeting the increased need for adequate, accessible, affordable housing for seniors.
- Expanding and adequately
funding the Nursing Home
Ombudsman program so that
those seniors who do end
up in nursing homes and
other long term care facilities
will have access to someone
to advocate for them and
assure that their needs
are met.
- Providing adequate transportation for this population who will need rides to medical appointments, as well as non-medical destinations to keep them active and involved in their communities, when they are unable to provide transportation for themselves.
The growth that we are expecting is not far off. It is significant enough that, without proper planning, we could find ourselves unable to meet the needs and demands of this segment of our population. And these are not just numbers. This age group will include our parents, grandparents, aunts and uncles, and perhaps even ourselves! We are a society that does not like to think in terms of growing older. Therefore, it is hard to motivate our leaders to pay attention to what lies ahead for all of us. There are some who believe that if we can “fix” Medicare and “fix” Social Security, we will have found the “magic bullet.” While those are worthy goals and certainly need a lot of “fixing”, the issues that surround getting older go far beyond these two programs. We need to begin to honor our elderly in this country in a way that shifts the paradigm from one of dealing with the “burden” of an older population to that of celebrating the fact that they have helped to shape our nation, fought to defend it and added immensely to our rich heritage.
[PRINTER FRIENDLY VERSION]
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